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Archive for March, 2009

GM Kindly Demonstrates What’s Wrong With Your Business Plan.

Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

Listening to a government task force rail this week against the business plan that General Motors presented to Uncle Sam earlier this year, you probably didn’t think much about your own business plan in light of their criticism. You should. Even if you’re not in charge of a major corporation or aren’t a part of the auto industry, there’s very real advice for every entrepreneur crafting a business plan in the government task force’s recent review of GM’s business plan. Reports the WSJ:

“A five-page summary reviewing GM’s financial health is largely an evisceration of the plan GM presented to the task force earlier this year. It challenges the auto maker’s rosy projections on almost every front, from how quickly the company expects to lose more U.S. market share to its ability to price competitively to its ability to introduce and sell new, fuel efficient cars.

In one section, the task force examined GM’s optimistic view of its sliding market share by recounting its 30-year decline. In 1980s, GM’s market share was 45%; last year, it was 22%. But the company only forecasted a rate of decline through 2014 at half the rate it has lost a year for the last three decades—0.3% a year versus 0.7% annually.”

Take home lesson? You can’t fudge the facts. Neither the government—nor bankers or investors—are so gullible that they’ll believe whatever tall tales you feed them. But for some reason scores of smart entrepreneurs, and even major corporations (ahem, GM), believe the contrary. Just don’t—or else you’ll end up looking like the majority of GM’s directors, who were replaced this week: at best, out of touch with reality, at worst, dishonest.

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Is Facebook Planning To Go Public?

Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

If you’re working on a business plan, an IPO probably feels a million years away, even if it is the end goal. Still, it’s hard not sit up and take notice at news like this: Facebook reportedly may be planning to go public, reports the Wall Street Journal. The tip off, apparently, is the departure of the company’s CFO, Gideon Yu, this afternoon. If sources are correct, Facebook ditched Yu to search for a CFO with “public company experience.” Adding to the speculation is the fact that, despite the recession, the company is doing remarkably well:

“The person familiar with the matter said Facebook’s financials are strong and that the company expects revenue growth of at least 70% in 2009 compared with 2008 revenue–far above the estimates of some outside analysts.

This person declined to say how much revenue Facebook is making, but added that the company has had positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, for the past five quarters and expects to be cash-flow positive in 2010.”

Still, this market has proven to be a particularly tricky one for IPOs. And this comes on the heels of an article in yesterday’s New York Times, which, while incredibly favorable toward Facebook, nonetheless asked: is Facebook growing up too fast? If Facebook goes public now, this is one to watch.

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VC Hate Site Not Gone!

Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

Everyone, deep breath: TheFunded.com, a website where entrepreneurs can bitc—er, post reviews—about venture capital firms is not shut down. The blogosphere was atwitter with speculation that the site had shut down as a result of legal action after TheFunded.com posted a message claiming that “Investors are Great” and that the site would stop posting reviews—particularly of the negative ilk—as of April 2:

“On Friday, March 27th, TheFunded, Incorporated (’TheFunded’ or ‘we’ or ‘the Company’), in conjunction with counsel has concluded that venture financing and the purchase of preferred equity, herein referred to as ‘investing’ or ‘investment’ or ‘investors’, is both broadly and generally good for companies worldwide.

TheFunded will officially cease reviews on April 2nd, 2009, which, from time to time, reflect negatively on the many innumerable benefits of investors or investment or investing. We encourage companies to consider seriously taking investment, and we apologize for the following statement made in haste: ‘investing is predatory’, ‘over 75% of investors are bad’, ‘avoid banned investors.’

Turns out as anyone who reads TheFunded.com regularly might guess—it was all a practical joke. An early April Fool’s Day joke, in fact. The site went back live, allowing entrepreneurs to post all manner of reviews—and complaints—today. While we’re not really sure the joke is all that funny—for those of you freaking out: you can chill.

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Google Wants Your Business Plan.

Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

That new Google venture arm we heard whispers about last week? Turns out there was some truth behind the rumors: Google announced yesterday that they’re launching a new venture capital fund that will invest in business plans in the fields of consumer Internet, software, hardware, clean tech, bio-tech and healthcare. Being Google, they already have a website—Google Ventures—up and running, which you can check out here.

While Google didn’t announce how much money the intended to dedicate to this new fund, reports in the Wall Street Journal and New York Times suggest that it may be around $100 million. So far Google Ventures has already invested in two start-ups—Silver Spring Networks, a technology company that helps manage electric grids, and Pixazza, an Internet business that “links online images with related products that can be purchased.” While there’s no word on how much Google Ventures invested in either of those start-ups, they say on their website that they’re planning to invest anything from seed funding to tens of millions of dollars depending on the start-up and its needs. That’s exciting news for those of you plugging away on a business plan. Google’s expected to announce more details about its new VC arm today. Stay tuned.

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Weekly Round-Up: Still Surviving Econopocalypse.

Friday, March 27th, 2009

-Nevermind that they closed down today—stocks, and other key market indicators—actually had a good week for once. We’ll take the good news where we can get it.

-Despite the layoffs this week, Google apparently has money to invest in your business plan. Or at least that’s the buzz in the blogosphere, where some are speculating that Google is launching a new venture capital arm. We wouldn’t complain.

-As an entrepreneur sitting on a business plan right now, it’s easy to start feeling serious outrage over how companies like AIG have mishandled government bailout cash – particularly if you’re seeking capital for your own, job-creating start-up business. But for this week’s survey question, we asked whether the outrage – which includes death threats directed toward AIG execs – has gone too far. Your blunt response? No. Remind us never to tick you guys off.

-It seems like these days everyone’s on Twitter: celebs, marketing people, CEOs, venture capitalists, execs, and – if you’re a business owner – your customers. While that’s great if your customers have awesome things to say about your start-up, it gets trickier when they’re complaining about you. Fortunately, Salesforce.com has a new service that they claim helps solve that problem. Where can we sign up?

-Women business owners: get your business plan ready. Women’s clothing company Eileen Fisher is offering five $10,000 grants to women-owned businesses this summer. Hey, it beats begging a banker for a loan…

-Here’s a common trap that many entrepreneurs fall into: they approach their business plan from the perspective that they need VC or angel investment for their start-up to work. That’s not necessarily the smartest tack to take when it comes to your business plan. Find out why here.

-It’s about time. This week the micro-blogging site Twitter announced that it’s finally found way to make [some] money. But just in case they need a few more ideas, the Board of Innovation—a business/humor blog—has come up with a few more for them. Our personal favorite? “Sex sells, do something with it…”. Brilliant!

-Can someone please explain to use why Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner thought it would be a good idea to wear matching ties to get grilled by Congress about AIG this week? We still don’t have an explanation. But you can go laugh at the photo here.

-The general consensus when it comes to start-ups and growth these days is that entrepreneurs should circle the wagons, hunker down, and hoard cash. But is growth really completely out of the question?

-If you’re an entrepreneur trying to bring a new product to market, there may seem like no worse time. Wrong! New data shows that Americans are still obsessed with buying shiny new things despite the downturn. Sorta confirmed what you already knew, right?

-Live in the New York or Boston area? Have a business plan you’re trying to get funded? Spark Capital, the VC firm behind start-ups like Twitter and Boxee, announced Start@Spark today, a new fund that will invest in early-stage start-ups.

-Is there anyone out there who really knows what they’re talking about these days when it comes to the direction of the economy? As someone who’s working on a business plan, it’s likely that you go somewhere for the definitive word on the economy—we’re just wondering where that is?

See you next week!

Is Economic Guru An Oxymoron?

Friday, March 27th, 2009

Is there anyone out there who really knows what they’re talking about these days when it comes to the direction of the economy? As someone who’s working on a business plan, it’s likely that you go somewhere for the definitive word on the economy. But it’s become increasingly unclear who that is—at least to us. After Jon Stewart trounced CNBC talking head-cum-financial analyst Jim Cramer last week—who did little more than hang his head and accept blame for getting, um, everything wrong—it became clear that the talking heads are worthless (as if you didn’t know already). So-called financial analysts and experts are unreliable these days as well. Even Warren Buffet, who for many is the guru when it comes to the economy, seems to have been struggling recently: Berkshire Hathaway’s S&P rating was switched this week from stable to negative, although they’ve maintained their AAA rating. So you can understand our skepticism then at the news today that a famous Chinese billionaire is exclaiming that now’s the time to buy, buy, buy. From the New York Times:

“The oracle of Hong Kong has spoken. And his message: it’s time to consider buying stocks and real estate.

Li Ka-Shing reported on Thursday that his companies had severe profit declines in 2008, but he said that ‘if you buy in a slow market, in the medium term you get good returns.’ The proclamation on Thursday by Li Ka-Shing, the self-made billionaire who controls some of Hong Kong’s largest companies and carries enormous sway among investors throughout Asia, was made at a rare public appearance.”

Sure, the New York Times calls Li an “oracle,” and, yeah, he sounds like a successful guy but still: YAWN. At this point we’re so jaded that Lindsay Lohan could get up and make proclamations about the the future of the economy and we wouldn’t bat an eye. Opinions seem to be a dime a dozen these days, but good advice is scarce. It’s not necessarily analysts and experts fault—the market has been incredibly fickle. But knowing what we know now, why do so many of them keeping speaking as if they’re relaying the economic gospel?

Maybe we’re just overly jaded though. Who do you listen to when it comes to the economy?

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(Image via the New York Times)

Dark Clouds Still Loom Large For Some.

Friday, March 27th, 2009

-The big news in layoff land this week was Google (aka “Teflon”), who announced that they’re laying off more than 200 employees in their marketing department. The cuts were apparently precipitated by a drop in revenues, which they explained on their blog: “We over-invested in some areas in preparation for the growth trends we were experiencing at the time.”

In other words, maybe they’re not so different from everyone else after all.

-The happiest place on earth wasn’t so jolly this week with the announcement that Disney Word is laying off 450 employees. The amusement park is Central Florida’s largest employer, staffing more than 62,000 “cast members,” reports the Orlando Sentinel.

-The media business continued to take a flogging this week in a trend we expect to continue. Among this week’s casualities is Seattle Post-Intelligencer, one of Washington’s largest newspapers. After weeks of speculation that someone would purchase the paper—Bill Gates’ name was even floated—newsroom staffers got word this week that the paper was folding. Unlike their luckier brethren (the Christian Science Monitor, for instance) there won’t even be an online edition. Music mag Blender also announced late this week that they’re ceasing publication. Listening to the explanation gave us deja vu: paid subscriptions are down, as are newsstand sales.

-Clothier Marc Ecko is apparently in danger of going bankrupt, reports the New York Post. Perhaps the designer regrets dropping nearly three quarters of a million on Barry Bonds’ record-breaking home run ball, muses Gawker?

-In a bit of good news/bad news GM managed to convince 7,500 hourly workers to take their buyout offer this week, helping the ailing auto giant continue to cut costs and streamline operations. Still, it’s a far cry from the number of employees who were given the deal: GM offered retirement incentives to 22,000 workers. It goes without saying that retirement isn’t necessarily a favorable option in this economic climate.

-IBM also slashed jobs this week, to the tune of 5,000. The company says that many of those jobs will be transferred abroad to India. No surprise there given that the tech business has been building a substantial workforce abroad for some time now.

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SBA: Here’s How To Get Banks’ Money.

Friday, March 27th, 2009

So you’ve got great credit. 700 or above. And you’ve got plenty of collateral. As an entrepreneur trying to secure a loan with your business plan, you’re probably wondering if there’s anything else you can do in this market to help secure funding. While having good credit, sufficient collateral, and a solid business plan gets you further than most entrepreneurs, you might want to check out these tips from the head of the Small Business Administration in Portland, Oregon, Harry DeWolf, who spoke with the Oregonian this week. He gave a few hints (indirectly) on small ways you can improve your business plan to increase your shot at securing a loan:

“Quite a few people are having trouble because they don’t have the collateral that they need to support a loan, especially with home and property values going down. That real estate was the collateral or equity that many were relying on.

Banks are now being very careful. Loans are an investment for them and they don’t want to lose their money. Banks are requiring that businesses really present themselves well and show that the loan will increase business and improve their ability to repay.”

That’s an important point. Your business plan shouldn’t suggest that you need a loan as an emergency stop-gap just to keep your business afloat. That automatically makes you and your business look like a serious risk. Bearing in mind that above all else bankers are risk averse—particularly these days when they can’t stand to lose more cash—that’s a bad thing. Instead your business plan should clearly demonstrate how a loan will boost your business or sales—and more to the point, your ability to repay the loan. Another tip he offers entrepreneurs who are trying to secure a loan is that you should outline how your business has responded to the economic crisis. When asked whether small business owners should be borrowing at all in this economy, he responds:

“Not all businesses should be borrowing now, but getting a loan can be a good business decision for many, especially businesses that are trying to grow or change their product or service to meet the current market.

The most resilient companies have lots of different ways of selling their products or services to different markets.”

Since resilient = able to pay back loan, it’s worth describing things you’ve done (or will do) to bolster sales in this market in your business plan. The real take-home message here though is one we’ve repeated before, but it’s particularly relevant these days: your business plan should do what it can to make your start-up look like a solid investment—not a risk. Collateral and good credit get you two-thirds of the way there, a solid business plan does the rest.

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Off With Their Heads!

Friday, March 27th, 2009

You people want blood. Or, at least, so the results of this week’s survey indicate. On Monday, we asked whether you thought the outrage directed toward bank and AIG execs had gone too far—and with good reason. The New York Times reported earlier this week that some AIG execs had received death threats, and that readers had even written in to the editor suggesting French Revolution-style beheadings. But we didn’t realize just how prescient our post was until was read about the near-revolt happening in Europe right now:

“Tempers are flaring across Europe as the economic pain deepens and more people lose their jobs.

Just ask Fred Goodwin, the former chief executive of the ailing Royal Bank of Scotland, whose house and car were vandalized early Wednesday. Or Luc Rousselet, the manager of a 3M factory in France, who was barricaded in an office for a second day by workers demanding better severance packages for 110 employees who are being laid off.”

Tempers are flaring, indeed. And if this week’s survey results are any indication of the national mood, it’s easy to see why. Facing lower wages—or no job at all—workers are naturally angry that the very executives who got us into this position are seemingly still cashing in at our all expense. Perhaps that’s why 80% of our survey respondents said that they didn’t believe that the public outrage toward AIG and other bank execs has gone too far. Dole out punishment where punishments due, in other words. Still, a smaller fraction of you expressed some reservations over the magnitude of the anger. Writes reader Christyj:

“I think they should be punished in the pocket book and return the money… but I think things are going too far when they have to hire a security guard to feel safe.”

But for those of you who feel otherwise, enjoy this clip from Stephen Colbert:

The Colbert Report Mon – Thurs 11:30pm / 10:30c
Stephen’s Angry Mob Will Crush AIG
comedycentral.com
Colbert Report Full Episodes Political Humor NASA Name Contest

Recession Beards And Other Things We’d Never Heard Of Til 5 Mins Ago.

Thursday, March 26th, 2009

As anyone who’s read the paper these days has noticed, the recession’s got its own vocabulary. We’ve ranted before about the use of dumb phrases like Main St. vs. Wall St. and game-changer, even as those words have started to permeate the media and our own vocabulary. Now the New York Time has gone and made a new blog out of it, which they announced this week. Schott’s Vocab, written by English writer Ben Schott, will—in the Times’ words—”encapsulate the times in which we live or shed light on a story of note.”

While we’re not certain that Schott’s blog is quite that deep—”recession beard,” is one of his newest entries—it is a fascinating look at the words that have entered our lexicon even in just the past few months. Although these are the very words we’d suggest you shy away from in your business plan, as someone who’s likely knee-deep in financial jargon and business phraseology, you’ll at least enjoy Schott’s list. Here are some of the top business-related words and phrases he cites, along with an example of their usage by print or television journalists:

-”Bossnapping: When workers kidnap their managers.” Ex: “‘French workers on Thursday freed the manager of a factory run by U.S. company 3M held hostage in his office for more than 24 hours in a labor dispute over terms for laid-off staff,’ CNN reported, detailing the latest incident of bossnapping.”

-”Recession Beard: Credit-crunchy facial hair.” Ex: “Contestants will be divided into eight categories, including Full Beard Natural, Goatee, Sideburns and the newly popular Recession Beard, which Saccoman [the event's organizer] dubbed ‘a beard with a story’ related to the financial mess.”

-”Econocide: Suicide seemingly catalyzed by the economic crisis.” Ex: “Now, 80 years later, American psychologists have coined the phrase ‘econocide’ to describe a wave of suicides they say is linked to the current global economic crisis.”

-”Cramer vs. Not Cramer: The onscreen spat between Jim ‘Mad Money’ Cramer and Jon ‘Daily Show’ Stewart.”

-”Nomunication: The in vino veritas approach to business communication prevalent in Japan.” Ex: “The intimacy that drinking fosters between friends, clients and colleagues has given rise to a new word: ‘Nomunication,’ a bilingual coinage combining the Japanese for drinking with communication.”

-”Teflon Goldman: Nickname given to Goldman Sachs for weathering the financial crisis relatively unscathed, thus far.” Ex: “Goldman Sachs is dubbed ‘Teflon Goldman’ for being seemingly impervious to the early ravages of the banking crisis while rivals suffered, and a new list of the business world’s biggest brands shows the Wall Street powerhouse has actually overtaken the non-stick coating maker from which it derives its nickname.”

We could go on—and Schott apparently will. Check out the blog, which updates daily, here. And just remember – not in your business plan, please.

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